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Crypto Dynamic Modelling Ai
Wise Crypto
Trading
Estay corrects the way to invest in the first truly digital and fascinating economy of this new era that combines economics and technology in a way that no one had foreseen before. We do this by adapting the concept of investment in Machine and Deep Learning (Ai) assisted decisions to a new emerging market. A market that is much more global, faster and dynamic than the one we knew. A market that presents itself with new challenges, problems and new needs, but also with new opportunities, technologies and tools.
Welcome to Estay Crypto Dynamic Modeling Ai, the new horizon of smart investing in our new world.
PROBLEM
What we do
There are 4 elements that make prudent crypto trading extremely difficult and complex. Knowing these variables and delving into their causes and effects is the first step to finding a solution to have them under control.
In periods of great technological and cultural transitions such as the one we are living through, countless confusions and a deep sense of despair invariably arise.
Our age of anxiety is largely the result of trying to do today's work with yesterday's tools and yesterday's concepts, and of course, their performance is ridiculously uncertain at best.
If there is one thing everyone agrees on, it is that we live in a mess that it is no longer working. But there are already some bricks for a correct solution at hand.
1
UNPREDICTABILITY. Infallible decisions are based on a perfect information set. This is composed of data and their interrelationships. Variety is the number of possible states raised to the number of elements. It is impossible to even find out its limits and thus predict any outcome with sufficient accuracy. 2
BLINK AND YOU MISSED IT. The market can turn in tenths of a second 24/7 and for an infinite number of reasons, forcing you to react in hundredths of a second with insufficient information. In the right direction. Always. However, our brain is not equipped to handle these situations correctly as it is physically limited to 10 Hz and even best trained minds can only handle 4-7 tasks at a time. by large very insufficient.
3
LOST IN EMOTIONS. Retail investors drive 88% of the market. They do so based on expectations and emotions such as fear and greed. Totally unpredictable, because each individual has his or her own experience, knowledge, needs and worse of all: free will.
4
SPECULATION. Professional investors with big liquidity can move public opinion and lead the market in their favour. When you lose, they win. Always and without regret or compassion.
SOLUTION
What we do
We combine a deep understanding and extensive expertise in the dynamics of crypto trading with the development of bespoke automatic learning algorithms (machine and deep learning algorithms) to have drawdowns under control and maximize the always complex performance/risk ratio.
At Estay, we have shifted the traditional focus from sheer action -driven by data- to a more effective and correct focus on reaction -driven by the interrelationships between the elements of the financial system and its environment.
To be successful from now on, it is necessary to know in advance the consequences of any strategy or action, as their effects are experienced without delay. This is not possible simply with data-driven algorithms, not even with big data.
The correct way is to identify patterns of behavior and thus be able to make correct projections into the future, by analysing the relationships and interconnections between the elements of a system, in our case the complex financial investment system.
1
PATTERNS, PREDICTIONS, AND ACTIONS require no physics but accurate dynamic feedback models. Unknown outcomes, be they future or unobserved, often follow patterns found in past observations. This empirical law has become the basis of our models of consequential decision making where causality is a comprehensive conceptual framework to reason about the effect of actions and for making our bespoke ai methods more robust and reliable that perform better under changing conditions pushing the control of volatility to new levels. 2
ELECTRICAL SPEED. Our technology can react in tenths of seconds to any perturbation in the market calculating by the way the best possible response to it. It does it by using advanced machine and deep learning algorithms run by the most powerful computers to identify the 3
ZERO EMOTIONS. Human emotions and feelings are the weakest element in the whole investment chainIt. It is easy to understand, that our artificial intelligence algorithms neither feel or suffer. Our customers will have the absolute security that all trading is done based on strict mathematical functions nurtured by billions of data and its interrelations. Of course, independent of how the traders have woken up and whether they have stress or anxiety issues.
We have solved our mental limits to handle hyper-complex systems in an environment with exponentially changing dynamics.
4
SHIFT MARKET SPECULATION TO OUR ADVANTAGE. You cannot foresee the future but you can identify behavior patterns that can be synchronized in dynamic models. We use the laws and principles of cybernetics, the science of control and regulation, and circular feedback circuits to identify the patterns that affect and effect the speculative moves of some investors.
who we are
Providing Unique Predictability and Volatility Control w/ai
At Estay, we have shifted the traditional focus from sheer action -driven by data- to a more effective and correct focus on reaction -driven by the interrelationships between the elements of the crypto trading system.
To be successful from now on, it is necessary to know in advance the consequences of any strategy or action, as their effects are experienced without delay. This is not possible simply with data-driven algorithms, not even with big data.
Our approach is to identify patterns of behavior and thus be able to make correct projections into the future, by analyzing the hypercomplex relationships and interconnections between the elements of the crypto trading system with the help of bespoke machine learning techniques.
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Single Asset
Smart-balanced Hedging Statistical Arbitrage
selected work
Our Projects
It is a cybernetic result that systems cannot learn unless they make errors; they cannot grow without mutation; they will not adapt unless they experiment; they never evolve unless learning, growing and adapting.
Single Asset
Launch date
Q2 2023
FOCUS
Best predictability
MÃnimum drawdown
Maximal liquidity description
Protect your assets with our risk management and asset diversification algorithm. Say goodbye to volatility and hello to a stable portfolio.
Development of algorithmic strategies to harness crypto assets volatility and wide movements to profit from them. Our single asset strategies focus on simultaneously discovering exploitable trading patterns on each cryptocurrency individually considered by using machine learning, artificial intelligence and mathematical tools and techniques.
ADVANTAGES
The best predictability out there. The overlapping of multiple different market neutral strategies allows us to exploit any trading pattern existent at any time. We can simultaneously benefit from all trading concepts such as trend, overbuy, mean-reversion, volatility breakout, etc.
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Smart-balanced Hedging Launch date
Q3 2024
focus
Minimal risk
Predictability
Controlled returns
description
Bespoke strategies for a balanced smart hedging portfolio in order to generate performance with the lowest risk in the business while receiving interest payments far above traditional alternatives.
Estay's smart-balanced hedging offers the high yield from cryptocurrencies derivates while limiting to a minimum the downside risk from declines in the underlying asset price.
The ai strategy offers high yields that sometimes are offset by the base cryptocurrency decline in price.
Covering this decline with financial derivatives allows the portfolio to profit from the high returns reducing to a minimum the associated downside.
ADVANTAGES: Highest predictability and strategy that are relatively easy to optimize and maintain once the futures ecosystem matures for the cryptocurrencies. By construction, these strategies offer attractive returns with outstanding low risk.
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Statistical Arbitrage
Launch date
Q1 2024
FOCUS
description
Statistical arbitrage techniques allow for more sophisticated trading patterns that operate on multiple assets at a time. These techniques detect statistical anomalies in the joint behavior of different assets betting on the convergence to the baseline behavior.
Statistical arbitrage is a multi-asset trading strategy that seeks out market neutral profits betting on the convergence of diverging assets. It represents a widely followed approach to the market, based on sound statistical foundations.
ADVANTAGES: The market neutral nature of pair trading will allow us to make profit regardless of the overall market direction. Besides, it will make possible to keep positions open in the market for longer periods of time while assuming lower risks.
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